On October 8, France’s Prime Minister Barnier is confronted with his first motion of no confidence since assuming office, according to reports from AFP. This challenge comes from the left-wing coalition known as the New People’s Front, which includes La France Insoumise, the Socialist Party, the Communist Party, and the Green Party. While they secured the most seats in the National Assembly elections, they still fell short of achieving an absolute majority.

Olivier Faure, the First Secretary of the Socialist Party, has openly criticized Barnier’s government structure and policy direction, claiming they contradict the results of the legislative elections. However, a member of the far-right National Rally has already announced that they will not endorse the motion. “I believe the situation is serious enough; we shouldn’t overthrow the new government just as it’s starting to function,” National Rally member Laure Lavalette stated in an interview with France 2. “We cannot continue to create chaos like you (the left) do.”

Analysts from AFP suggest that the likelihood of the no-confidence motion succeeding is low, but it does underscore the “vulnerability” of Barnier’s administration. The outcome of the vote could place Barnier’s government in a difficult position right at the outset of its term, particularly since some independent lawmakers may support the motion, alongside discontented members from Macron’s centrist coalition unhappy with proposed tax changes.

In an interview with the French newspaper Le Forum du Dimanche, Barnier acknowledged the precariousness of his situation, saying, “I am well aware that my fate now lies in the hands of parliament.” Barnier, a well-known figure in French right-wing politics who previously served as the EU’s chief negotiator for Brexit, was appointed Prime Minister by President Macron on September 5, tasked with forming a new government.