In a recent interview with Bloomberg’s John Micklethwait on October 15, Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump hesitated to make a commitment regarding the deployment of U.S. troops to defend Taiwan, yet asserted, “If I am elected, China will not invade Taiwan.” This statement reflects Trump’s consistent approach, as he has historically evaded questions about sending military aid to Taiwan.
During a Bloomberg Businessweek interview in June, Trump claimed that Taiwan was “taking away business from American chip makers” and argued that Taiwan should pay for its defense from the U.S. In a September interview with a Washington Post columnist, he reiterated that China would refrain from attacking Taiwan during his presidency, although he acknowledged that actions might eventually be taken by China. Trump emphasized the challenging nature of the situation, stating, “Don’t forget, Taiwan is 9,000 miles away from the U.S. and only 100 miles from China.” He urged Taiwanese leaders to significantly increase their defense investments over the next four years, suggesting that Taiwan’s defense spending should reach 10% of its GDP.
Currently, Taiwan’s defense budget for this year stands at approximately NT$606.8 billion, or 2.5% of its GDP, while next year’s budget is projected at NT$647 billion, roughly 2.45% of the GDP.
When Micklethwait questioned Trump about whether Taiwan should pay for U.S. protection, Trump provided a clear affirmative response. In light of recent military exercises conducted by the People’s Liberation Army, simulating a complete blockade of Taiwan, Micklethwait asked Trump if he would send U.S. troops to defend Taiwan in the event of a Chinese invasion. Trump replied, “The reason they’re (referring to Beijing) doing what they’re doing now is because they won’t be able to under my administration.”
